|
This time element
forces us to still greater efforts to attain
the full employment of our labor and our
capital.
The first duty of
our statesmanship is to bring capital and
man-power together.
Dictatorships do
this by main force. By using main force
they apparently succeed at itfor the
moment. However we abhor their methods,
we are compelled to admit that they have
obtained substantial utilization of all
their material and human resources. Like
it or not, they have solved, for a time
at least, the problem of idle men and idle
capital. Can we compete with them by boldly
seeking methods of putting idle men and
idle capital together and, at the same time,
remain within our American way of life,
within the Bill of Rights, and within the
bounds of what is, from our point of view,
civilization itself?
We suffer from a
great unemployment of capital. Many people
have the idea that as a nation we are overburdened
with debt and are spending more than we
can afford. That is not so. Despite our
Federal Government expenditures the entire
debt of our national economic system, public
and private together, is no larger today
than it was in 1929, and the interest thereon
is far less than it was in 1929.
The object is to
put capitalprivate as well as publicto
work.
We want to get enough
capital and labor at work to give us a total
turnover of business, a total national income,
of at least eighty billion dollars a year.
At that figure we shall have a substantial
reduction of unemployment; and the Federal
Revenues will be sufficient to balance the
current level of cash expenditures on the
basis of the existing tax structure. That
figure can be attained, working within the
framework of our traditional profit system.
The factors in attaining
and maintaining that amount of national
income are many and complicated.
They include more
widespread understanding among business
men of many changes which world conditions
and technological improvements have brought
to our economy over the last twenty yearschanges
in the interrelationship of price and volume
and employment, for example- changes of
the kind in which business men are now educating
themselves through excellent opportunities
like the so-called "monopoly investigation.
They include a perfecting
of our farm program to protect farmers'
income and consumers' purchasing power from
alternate risks of crop gluts and crop shortages.
They include wholehearted
acceptance of new standards of honesty in
our financial markets.
They include reconcilement
of enormous, antagonistic interestssome
of them long in litigationin the railroad
and general transportation field.
They include the
working out of new techniquesprivate,
state and federalto protect the public
interest in and to develop wider markets
for electric power.
They include a revamping
of the tax relationships between federal,
state and local units of government, and
consideration of relatively small tax increases
to adjust inequalities without interfering
with the aggregate income of the American
people.
They include the
perfecting of labor organization and a universal
ungrudging attitude by employers toward
the labor movement, until there is a minimum
of interruption of production and employment
because of disputes, and acceptance by labor
of the truth that the welfare of labor itself
depends on increased balanced out-put of
goods.
To be immediately
practical, while proceeding with a steady
evolution in the solving of these and like
problems, we must wisely use instrumentalities,
like Federal investment, which are immediately
available to us.
Here, as elsewhere,
time is the deciding factor in our choice
of remedies.
Therefore, it does
not seem logical to me, at the moment we
seek to increase production and consumption,
for the Federal Government to consider a
drastic curtailment of its own investments.
The whole subject
of government investing and government income
is one which may be approached in two different
ways.
The first calls for
the elimination of enough activities of
government to bring the expenses of government
immediately into balance with income of
government. This school of thought maintains
that because our national income this year
is only sixty billion dollars, ours is only
a sixty billion dollar country; that government
must treat it as such; and that without
the help of government, it may some day,
somehow, happen to become an eighty billion
dollar country.
If the Congress decides
to accept this point of view, it will logically
have to reduce the present functions or
activities of government by one-third. Not
only will the Congress have to accept the
responsibility for such reduction; but the
Congress will have to determine which activities
are to be reduced.
Certain expenditures
we cannot possibly reduce at this session,
such as the interest on the public debt.
A few million dollars saved here or there
in the normal or in curtailed work of the
old departments and commissions will make
no great saving in the Federal budget. Therefore,
the Congress would have to reduce drastically
some of certain large items, very large
items, such as aids to agriculture and soil
conservation, veterans' pensions, flood
control, highways, waterways and other public
works, grants for social and health security,
Civilian Conservation Corps activities,
relief for the unemployed, or national defense
itself.
The Congress alone
has the power to do all this, as it is the
appropriating branch of the government.
The other approach
to the question of government spending takes
the position that this Nation ought not
to be and need not be only a sixty billion
dollar nation; that at this moment it has
the men and the resources sufficient to
make it at least an eighty billion dollar
nation. This school of thought does not
believe that it can become an eighty billion
dollar nation in the near future if government
cuts its operations by one-third. It is
convinced that if we were to try it, we
would invite disasterand that we would
not long remain even a sixty billion dollar
nation. There are many complicated factors
with which we have to deal, but we have
learned that it is unsafe to make abrupt
reductions at any time in our net expenditure
program.
By our common sense
action of resuming government activities
last spring, we have reversed a recession
and started the new rising tide of prosperity
and national income which we are now just
beginning to enjoy.
If government activities
are fully maintained, there is a good prospect
of our becoming an eighty billion dollar
country in a very short time. With such
a national income, present tax laws will
yield enough each year to balance each year's
expenses.
It is my conviction
that down in their hearts the American publicindustry,
agriculture, financewant this Congress
to do whatever needs to be done to raise
our national income to eighty billion dollars
a year.
Investing soundly
must preclude spending wastefully. To guard
against opportunist appropriations, I have
on several occasions addressed the Congress
on the importance of permanent long-range
planning. I hope, therefore, that following
my recommendation of last year, a permanent
agency will be set up and authorized to
report on the urgency and desirability of
the various types of government investment.
Investment for prosperity
can be made in a democracy.
I hear some people
say, "This is all so complicated. There
are certain advantages in a dictatorship.
It gets rid of labor trouble, of unemployment,
of wasted motion and of having to do your
own thinking."
My answer is, "Yes,
but it also gets rid of some other things
which we Americans intend very definitely
to keepand we still intend to do our
own thinking."
It will cost us taxes
and the voluntary risk of capital to attain
some of the practical advantages which other
forms of government have acquired.
Dictatorship, however,
involves costs which the American people
will never pay: The cost of our spiritual
values. The cost of the blessed right of
being able to say what we please. The cost
of freedom of religion. The cost of seeing
our capital confiscated. The cost of being
cast into a concentration camp. The cost
of being afraid to walk down the street
with the wrong neighbor. The cost of having
our children brought up, not as free and
dignified human beings, but as pawns molded
and enslaved by a machine.
If the avoidance
of these costs means taxes on my income;
if avoiding these costs means taxes on my
estate at death, I would bear those taxes
willingly as the price of my breathing and
my children breathing the free air of a
free country, as the price of a living and
not a dead world.
Events abroad have
made it increasingly clear to the American
people that dangers within are less to be
feared than dangers from without. If, therefore,
a solution of this problem of idle men and
idle capital is the price of preserving
our liberty, no formless selfish fears can
stand in the way.
|